August 15, 2026
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 402 | 1 608 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Islam Makhachev's 7-fight experience advantage (19 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Islam Makhachev for the expected result. Had Ian Machado Garry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 179 | 1 535 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +16 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Islam Makhachev captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 486 | 1 876 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Islam Makhachev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 491 | 1 817 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Ian Machado Garry controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (29 vs 22). However, since Ian Machado Garry lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Islam Makhachev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 12:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 328 | 1 863 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Islam Makhachev landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 373 | 1 547 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Ian Machado Garry's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 17 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 310 | 1 963 |
| ELO Change | -1 | +19 |
Islam Makhachev extended his incredible 17-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while Ian Machado Garry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 174 | 1 513 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.