November 5, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Ian Machado Garry overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jordan Williams.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -34 |
Ian Machado Garry earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Ian Machado Garry controlled the striking exchanges with 64.3% vs 44.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:37 | 0:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Ian Machado Garry did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jordan Williams on the ground with 0:37 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 019 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Ian Machado Garry demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Williams's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Ian Machado Garry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Jordan Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.