August 18, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 31 |
| Experience Gap | -25 | 25 |
| Experience ELO | 1 303 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -39 |
Ian Machado Garry overcame a 25-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 31 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Neil Magny.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 396 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Ian Machado Garry earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 111 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 430 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Ian Machado Garry dominated the striking exchanges with 111 vs 51 total strikes, 91 vs 27 significant strikes, 60.7% vs 40.9% accuracy. Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:32 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 252 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Ian Machado Garry controlled Neil Magny on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:32 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 312 | 1 431 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -33 |
Ian Machado Garry demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this activity level, while Neil Magny's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 208 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -27 |
Ian Machado Garry continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Neil Magny's now at 0.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.