December 7, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 326 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +31 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ian Machado Garry.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 137 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 389 | 1 562 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 440 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Ian Machado Garry controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (102 vs 65 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (42 vs 37). However, since Ian Machado Garry lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Shavkat Rakhmonov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:32 | 11:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 268 | 1 591 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov dominated Ian Machado Garry on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 11:41 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 358 |
| Activity ELO | 1 316 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov demonstrated standard activity with 358 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Shavkat Rakhmonov capitalized on this activity level, while Ian Machado Garry's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 266 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +70 |
Shavkat Rakhmonov continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Ian Machado Garry's now at 0.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Shavkat Rakhmonov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.