March 3, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 144 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -27 |
Ian Machado Garry overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Song Kenan.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:22 | 4:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 233 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -44 |
Ian Machado Garry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 127 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 231 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 127 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 241 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Ian Machado Garry dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 61 total strikes, 127 vs 55 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 116 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ian Machado Garry landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 714 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Ian Machado Garry demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ian Machado Garry capitalized on this activity level, while Song Kenan's 714-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Ian Machado Garry extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Song Kenan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ian Machado Garry | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.