August 2, 2013
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 986 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Ian McCall's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ian McCall for the expected result. Had Iliarde Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 985 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Ian McCall earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 226 | 172 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ian McCall dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 46 total strikes, 92 vs 43 significant strikes, 40.7% vs 25.0% accuracy. Ian McCall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 988 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ian McCall edged out Iliarde Santos on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:01 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Ian McCall demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ian McCall capitalized on this activity level, while Iliarde Santos's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Ian McCall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Iliarde Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ian McCall | Iliarde Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.