May 3, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -35 |
Iasmin Lucindo overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Iasmin Lucindo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Iasmin Lucindo controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 47 total strikes, 83 vs 42 significant strikes, 61.0% vs 37.8% accuracy. Iasmin Lucindo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:56 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Iasmin Lucindo controlled Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:56 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Iasmin Lucindo demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Iasmin Lucindo capitalized on this activity level, while Karolina Kowalkiewicz's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -24 |
Iasmin Lucindo extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karolina Kowalkiewicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.