October 5, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -32 |
Iasmin Lucindo overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marina Rodriguez.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Iasmin Lucindo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Marina Rodriguez lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Iasmin Lucindo's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:40 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Iasmin Lucindo edged out Marina Rodriguez on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:40 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -27 |
Iasmin Lucindo demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Iasmin Lucindo capitalized on this activity level, while Marina Rodriguez's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -23 |
Iasmin Lucindo extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marina Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Iasmin Lucindo | Marina Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.