October 26, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:51 | 0:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -34 |
Ibo Aslan secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:51 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 181 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -118 |
Ibo Aslan controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 1 total strikes, 28 vs 1 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 100.0% accuracy. Ibo Aslan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Ibo Aslan demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ibo Aslan capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Cerqueira's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Ibo Aslan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Cerqueira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ibo Aslan | Rafael Cerqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.