March 3, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Tom Murphy gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -113 | +113 |
Tom Murphy dominated the striking exchanges with 82 vs 15 total strikes, 30 vs 2 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 15.4% accuracy. Tom Murphy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 8:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 893 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Tom Murphy dominated Icho Larenas on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 8:11 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Tom Murphy demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Murphy capitalized on this activity level, while Icho Larenas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tom Murphy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Icho Larenas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Icho Larenas | Tom Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.