April 9, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
John Makdessi's 17-fight experience advantage (18 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Makdessi for the expected result. Had Ignacio Bahamondes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 995 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with John Makdessi receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 112 | 124 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 312 | 232 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 145 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
John Makdessi edged the striking exchanges with 145 vs 117 total strikes, 124 vs 112 significant strikes, 53.4% vs 35.9% accuracy. John Makdessi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:14 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
John Makdessi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ignacio Bahamondes on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +12 |
John Makdessi demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, John Makdessi capitalized on this activity level, while Ignacio Bahamondes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +17 |
John Makdessi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ignacio Bahamondes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ignacio Bahamondes | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

