November 8, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +52 |
Rafael Cavalcante overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Igor Pokrajac.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:18 | 1:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +144 |
Rafael Cavalcante earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 911 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -122 | +122 |
Rafael Cavalcante controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 9 significant strikes, 76.2% vs 56.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Cavalcante capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Rafael Cavalcante landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +44 |
Rafael Cavalcante demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Cavalcante capitalized on this activity level, while Igor Pokrajac's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Rafael Cavalcante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Igor Pokrajac is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Rafael Cavalcante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

