March 2, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Igor Pokrajac's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Igor Pokrajac for the expected result. Had Todd Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -35 |
Igor Pokrajac earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 030 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Igor Pokrajac controlled the striking exchanges with 44.7% vs 65.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Igor Pokrajac capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 2:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Igor Pokrajac did not secure a significant ground advantage against Todd Brown on the ground with 0:35 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 89 | 209 |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -20 |
Igor Pokrajac demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 89 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Igor Pokrajac capitalized on this activity level, while Todd Brown's 209-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Igor Pokrajac started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Todd Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Igor Pokrajac | Todd Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

