January 11, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 891 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Marco Tulio overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ihor Potieria.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:04 | 3:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 982 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +97 |
Marco Tulio earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 869 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Marco Tulio controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 6 total strikes, 29 vs 6 significant strikes, 53.7% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marco Tulio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 869 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Marco Tulio landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Marco Tulio demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Marco Tulio capitalized on this activity level, while Ihor Potieria's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 950 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Marco Tulio started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ihor Potieria is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Marco Tulio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 938 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.