January 20, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -22 | 22 |
| Experience ELO | 1 081 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -43 |
Ihor Potieria overcame a 22-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mauricio Rua.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +160 | -74 |
Ihor Potieria earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 066 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +128 | -128 |
Ihor Potieria controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ihor Potieria capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Ihor Potieria landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -32 |
Ihor Potieria demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ihor Potieria capitalized on this activity level, while Mauricio Rua's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Ihor Potieria started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mauricio Rua is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ihor Potieria | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.