January 19, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 938 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -40 |
Ike Villanueva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 855 | 616 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Ike Villanueva controlled the striking exchanges with 42.9% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ike Villanueva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 905 | 782 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 152 | 488 |
| Activity ELO | 994 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Ike Villanueva demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ike Villanueva capitalized on this activity level, while Vinicius Moreira's 488-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ike Villanueva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinicius Moreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ike Villanueva | Vinicius Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.