June 21, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 22 |
| Experience Gap | -19 | 19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Robert Whittaker's 19-fight experience advantage (22 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Ikram Aliskerov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:49 | 1:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 232 | 1 614 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +24 |
Robert Whittaker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:49, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 158 | 1 517 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 042 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 412 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +11 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Ikram Aliskerov's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +6 |
Robert Whittaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ikram Aliskerov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.