October 20, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -23 |
Ikram Aliskerov overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Warlley Alves.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -50 |
Ikram Aliskerov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Ikram Aliskerov controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 12 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ikram Aliskerov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 053 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -24 |
Ikram Aliskerov demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ikram Aliskerov capitalized on this activity level, while Warlley Alves's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Ikram Aliskerov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Warlley Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

