January 30, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 031 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Ildemar Alcantara's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ildemar Alcantara for the expected result. Had Richardson Moreira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 026 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ildemar Alcantara receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 877 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ildemar Alcantara slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 21 vs 15 significant strikes. Ildemar Alcantara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 2:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 046 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Ildemar Alcantara did not secure a significant ground advantage against Richardson Moreira on the ground with 1:01 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Ildemar Alcantara demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ildemar Alcantara capitalized on this activity level, while Richardson Moreira's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Ildemar Alcantara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richardson Moreira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Richardson Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.