January 18, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 064 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Ildemar Alcantara overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Wagner Prado.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -40 |
Ildemar Alcantara earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wagner Prado was submitted.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Wagner Prado lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Ildemar Alcantara's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 056 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Ildemar Alcantara controlled Wagner Prado on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:26 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Ildemar Alcantara demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ildemar Alcantara capitalized on this activity level, while Wagner Prado's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ildemar Alcantara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wagner Prado is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ildemar Alcantara | Wagner Prado |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.