Ilia Topuria vs Jai Herbert

March 18, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1177
(+24)
Ilia Topuria
Winner: Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:07

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ilia Topuria+24
Jai Herbert-19
993
(-19)
Jai Herbert

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +19Jai Herbert: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Total UFC Fights44
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1841 002
ELO Change+19-12
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +16Jai Herbert: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 085977
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +47Jai Herbert: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:071:07
Win Type ELO1 3151 074
ELO Change+47-23
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +41Jai Herbert: -41

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Significant Strikes Landed2022
Significant Strikes Attempted4163
Total Strikes Landed3150
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 250974
ELO Change+41-41
💡

What Happened

Jai Herbert controlled the striking through superior volume (50 vs 31 total strikes), superior accuracy (34.9% vs 48.8%), 1 knockdown. However, since Jai Herbert lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ilia Topuria's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +16Jai Herbert: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time2:410:07
Ground Strikes Landed42
Ground ELO1 219934
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +18Jai Herbert: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Days Since Last Fight253148
Activity ELO1 1711 023
ELO Change+18-14
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ilia Topuria capitalized on this activity level, while Jai Herbert's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +22Jai Herbert: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 107984
ELO Change+22-16
💡

What Happened

Ilia Topuria extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jai Herbert is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ilia Topuria: +16Jai Herbert: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricIlia TopuriaJai Herbert
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 085976
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.