May 17, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Iuri Alcantara's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Iuri Alcantara for the expected result. Had Iliarde Santos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:31 | 2:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +89 |
Iuri Alcantara earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 902 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Iuri Alcantara controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 3 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 30.0% accuracy. Iuri Alcantara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Iuri Alcantara controlled Iliarde Santos on the ground with 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Iuri Alcantara demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Iuri Alcantara capitalized on this activity level, while Iliarde Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Iuri Alcantara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Iliarde Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Iliarde Santos | Iuri Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

