May 19, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +63 |
Rodrigo Nascimento overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ilir Latifi.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 325 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rodrigo Nascimento receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 093 | 971 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Rodrigo Nascimento controlled the striking exchanges with 68 vs 49 significant strikes, 44.7% vs 63.6% accuracy. Rodrigo Nascimento capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:50 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 308 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Rodrigo Nascimento did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ilir Latifi on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +39 |
Rodrigo Nascimento demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rodrigo Nascimento capitalized on this activity level, while Ilir Latifi's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Rodrigo Nascimento extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ilir Latifi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Rodrigo Nascimento |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.