Ilir Latifi vs Ryan Bader

September 2, 2016

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1127
(-22)
Ilir Latifi
Winner: Ryan Bader
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ilir Latifi-22
Ryan Bader+27
1314
(+27)
Ryan Bader

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -17Ryan Bader: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Total UFC Fights819
Experience Gap-1111
Experience ELO1 0661 270
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Ryan Bader's 11-fight experience advantage (19 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ryan Bader for the expected result. Had Ilir Latifi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -15Ryan Bader: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0471 175
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -30Ryan Bader: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:062:06
Win Type ELO1 3011 495
ELO Change-30+62
💡

What Happened

Ryan Bader gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -65Ryan Bader: +65

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Significant Strikes Landed913
Significant Strikes Attempted3034
Total Strikes Landed1115
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 1601 398
ELO Change-65+65
💡

What Happened

Ryan Bader controlled the striking exchanges with 38.2% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -9Ryan Bader: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time0:260:02
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 1611 413
ELO Change-9+9
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -12Ryan Bader: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Days Since Last Fight182217
Activity ELO1 1691 359
ELO Change-12+15
💡

What Happened

Ryan Bader demonstrated standard activity with 217 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Ilir Latifi's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -13Ryan Bader: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0671 238
ELO Change-13+14
💡

What Happened

Ryan Bader started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ilir Latifi is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ilir Latifi: -16Ryan Bader: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricIlir LatifiRyan Bader
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0461 163
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.