September 8, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Ilir Latifi's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ilir Latifi for the expected result. Had Tyson Pedro pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 068 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 327 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Ilir Latifi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Ilir Latifi edged the striking exchanges with 44 vs 31 significant strikes. Ilir Latifi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:22 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 250 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Ilir Latifi dominated Tyson Pedro on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:22 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 371 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -15 |
Ilir Latifi demonstrated extended layoff with 371 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ilir Latifi capitalized on this activity level, while Tyson Pedro's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ilir Latifi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyson Pedro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ilir Latifi | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.