April 9, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -53 |
Impa Kasanganay earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sasha Palatnikov was submitted.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 950 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Sasha Palatnikov lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Impa Kasanganay's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Impa Kasanganay controlled Sasha Palatnikov on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Impa Kasanganay demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Impa Kasanganay capitalized on this activity level, while Sasha Palatnikov's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Impa Kasanganay started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sasha Palatnikov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Impa Kasanganay | Sasha Palatnikov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.