Ion Cutelaba vs Ivan Erslan

September 28, 2024

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1067
(+23)
Ion Cutelaba
Winner: Ion Cutelaba
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Ion Cutelaba+23
Ivan Erslan-22
978
(-22)
Ivan Erslan

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +32Ivan Erslan: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Total UFC Fights171
Experience Gap16-16
Experience ELO1 025968
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Ion Cutelaba's 16-fight experience advantage (17 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ion Cutelaba for the expected result. Had Ivan Erslan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +23Ivan Erslan: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO990977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +5Ivan Erslan: -5

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 217995
ELO Change+5-5
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ion Cutelaba receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +17Ivan Erslan: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Significant Strikes Landed4539
Significant Strikes Attempted12069
Total Strikes Landed8063
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 144983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Ion Cutelaba edged the striking exchanges with 45 vs 39 significant strikes, 37.5% vs 56.5% accuracy. Ion Cutelaba capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +39Ivan Erslan: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Takedowns Landed31
Takedowns Attempted122
Ground Control Time1:595:19
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO1 046961
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Ion Cutelaba edged out Ivan Erslan on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +19Ivan Erslan: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Days Since Last Fight204N/A
Activity ELO1 114985
ELO Change+19-15
💡

What Happened

Ion Cutelaba demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ion Cutelaba capitalized on this activity level, while Ivan Erslan's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +24Ivan Erslan: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 009978
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Ion Cutelaba started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ivan Erslan is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Ion Cutelaba: +23Ivan Erslan: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricIon CutelabaIvan Erslan
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO990977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.