June 17, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Misha Cirkunov's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Misha Cirkunov for the expected result. Had Ion Cutelaba pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:22 | 1:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 974 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +39 |
Misha Cirkunov earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ion Cutelaba was submitted.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Misha Cirkunov controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 25 total strikes, 44 vs 24 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 20.9% accuracy. Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 971 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Misha Cirkunov controlled Ion Cutelaba on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:13 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +35 |
Misha Cirkunov demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this activity level, while Ion Cutelaba's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Misha Cirkunov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ion Cutelaba is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Misha Cirkunov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

