May 10, 2025
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +50 |
Modestas Bukauskas overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ion Cutelaba.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Modestas Bukauskas receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 130 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 139 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Ion Cutelaba controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (121 vs 52 total strikes), significant strike advantage (58 vs 44). However, since Ion Cutelaba lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Modestas Bukauskas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Modestas Bukauskas did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ion Cutelaba on the ground with 1:26 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 122 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +77 |
Modestas Bukauskas demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Modestas Bukauskas capitalized on this activity level, while Ion Cutelaba's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Modestas Bukauskas extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ion Cutelaba is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ion Cutelaba | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 994 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.