April 7, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 937 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 952 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Katlyn Cerminara receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 273 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 892 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Katlyn Cerminara controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 85 total strikes, 105 vs 84 significant strikes. Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 921 | 955 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Katlyn Cerminara demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Katlyn Cerminara capitalized on this activity level, while Irene Aldana's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Katlyn Cerminara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Irene Aldana is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Katlyn Cerminara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.