September 9, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Irene Aldana's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Irene Aldana for the expected result. Had Macy Chiasson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:21 | 2:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -31 |
Irene Aldana gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 265 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Macy Chiasson controlled the striking through superior volume (72 vs 51 total strikes), superior accuracy (41.5% vs 52.1%). However, since Macy Chiasson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Irene Aldana's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 3:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Irene Aldana did not secure a significant ground advantage against Macy Chiasson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 15 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 427 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Irene Aldana demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Irene Aldana capitalized on this activity level, while Macy Chiasson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 101 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Irene Aldana extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Macy Chiasson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Macy Chiasson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

