Irene Aldana vs Macy Chiasson

September 9, 2022

Catch Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1154
(+37)
Irene Aldana
Winner: Irene Aldana
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:21

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Irene Aldana+37
Macy Chiasson-32
1094
(-32)
Macy Chiasson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +32Macy Chiasson: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Total UFC Fights119
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 1281 075
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Irene Aldana's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Irene Aldana for the expected result. Had Macy Chiasson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +22Macy Chiasson: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0781 049
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +62Macy Chiasson: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:212:21
Win Type ELO1 3091 123
ELO Change+62-31
💡

What Happened

Irene Aldana gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +78Macy Chiasson: -78

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Significant Strikes Landed3739
Significant Strikes Attempted7194
Total Strikes Landed5172
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2651 086
ELO Change+78-78
💡

What Happened

Macy Chiasson controlled the striking through superior volume (72 vs 51 total strikes), superior accuracy (41.5% vs 52.1%). However, since Macy Chiasson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Irene Aldana's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +31Macy Chiasson: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time1:003:28
Ground Strikes Landed158
Ground ELO1 1061 170
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Irene Aldana did not secure a significant ground advantage against Macy Chiasson on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 15 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +19Macy Chiasson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Days Since Last Fight427126
Activity ELO1 1711 136
ELO Change+19-21
💡

What Happened

Irene Aldana demonstrated extended layoff with 427 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Irene Aldana capitalized on this activity level, while Macy Chiasson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +26Macy Chiasson: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1011 065
ELO Change+26-22
💡

What Happened

Irene Aldana extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Macy Chiasson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Irene Aldana: +22Macy Chiasson: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricIrene AldanaMacy Chiasson
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0731 048
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.