July 19, 2019
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Raquel Pennington's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Irene Aldana pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raquel Pennington receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Raquel Pennington slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 47 vs 52 significant strikes. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 5:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Irene Aldana on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 028 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Irene Aldana's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Raquel Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Irene Aldana is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.