October 13, 2023
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 046 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Melissa Mullins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Melissa Mullins edged the striking exchanges with 87 vs 60 total strikes, 54.7% vs 44.4% accuracy. Melissa Mullins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 8:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 996 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Melissa Mullins controlled Irina Alekseeva on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8:15 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Melissa Mullins demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Melissa Mullins capitalized on this activity level, while Irina Alekseeva's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Melissa Mullins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Irina Alekseeva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Irina Alekseeva | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.