Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Matt Wiman

November 21, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

962
(-15)
Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Winner: Matt Wiman
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Isaac Vallie-Flagg-15
Matt Wiman+15
1145
(+15)
Matt Wiman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -26Matt Wiman: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Total UFC Fights415
Experience Gap-1111
Experience ELO1 0251 141
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Matt Wiman's 11-fight experience advantage (15 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Isaac Vallie-Flagg pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -16Matt Wiman: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9671 086
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -13Matt Wiman: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9431 269
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

Matt Wiman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -16Matt Wiman: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Significant Strikes Landed8068
Significant Strikes Attempted121101
Total Strikes Landed120104
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9411 057
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

Isaac Vallie-Flagg controlled the striking through superior volume (120 vs 104 total strikes), significant strike advantage (80 vs 68). However, since Isaac Vallie-Flagg lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Wiman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -9Matt Wiman: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted53
Ground Control Time5:365:05
Ground Strikes Landed12
Ground ELO8981 225
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

Matt Wiman slightly outworked Isaac Vallie-Flagg on the ground with 5:05 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -11Matt Wiman: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Days Since Last Fight211665
Activity ELO9811 178
ELO Change-11+10
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What Happened

Matt Wiman demonstrated extended layoff with 665 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Isaac Vallie-Flagg's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -14Matt Wiman: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9751 118
ELO Change-14+16
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What Happened

Matt Wiman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Isaac Vallie-Flagg is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Isaac Vallie-Flagg: -16Matt Wiman: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricIsaac Vallie-FlaggMatt Wiman
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9671 086
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.