April 25, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Takanori Gomi's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Takanori Gomi for the expected result. Had Isaac Vallie-Flagg pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Takanori Gomi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 107 | 130 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 217 | 240 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 211 | 153 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Isaac Vallie-Flagg controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (211 vs 153 total strikes), significant strike advantage (107 vs 130). However, since Isaac Vallie-Flagg lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Takanori Gomi's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:11 | 3:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 907 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Takanori Gomi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Isaac Vallie-Flagg on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 101 | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 992 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +15 |
Takanori Gomi demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Takanori Gomi capitalized on this activity level, while Isaac Vallie-Flagg's 101-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Takanori Gomi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Isaac Vallie-Flagg is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Isaac Vallie-Flagg | Takanori Gomi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.