July 27, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 228 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -16 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 319 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -30 |
Islam Makhachev earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 228 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Islam Makhachev slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 422 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Islam Makhachev dominated Kajan Johnson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 151 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Kajan Johnson's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 125 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Islam Makhachev extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kajan Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Kajan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.