February 25, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 363 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Islam Makhachev overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran King Green.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 196 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:23 | 3:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 563 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -20 |
Islam Makhachev earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 32 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 464 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Islam Makhachev edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 9 significant strikes, 43.8% vs 69.2% accuracy. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:57 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 585 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Islam Makhachev edged out King Green on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:57 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 14 |
| Activity ELO | 1 359 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while King Green's 14-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 10 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 382 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -9 |
Islam Makhachev extended his incredible 10-fight win streak, earning one of the highest possible momentum bonuses for sustained dominance. This elite-level consistency triggered exponential streak bonuses, while King Green is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 196 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.