May 22, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:38 | 2:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -42 |
Islam Makhachev earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Leo Kuntz was submitted.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 063 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Islam Makhachev controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 11 total strikes, 32 vs 7 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 28.0% accuracy. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 845 |
| ELO Change | +155 | -155 |
Islam Makhachev dominated Leo Kuntz on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:00 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Leo Kuntz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Islam Makhachev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leo Kuntz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Leo Kuntz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.