February 10, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -14 | 14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -42 |
Islam Makhachev overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nik Lentz.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 148 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Islam Makhachev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 116 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Islam Makhachev dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 35 total strikes, 43 vs 13 significant strikes, 74.1% vs 37.1% accuracy. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:54 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 30 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 332 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +145 | -145 |
Islam Makhachev dominated Nik Lentz on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:54 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -32 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -27 |
Islam Makhachev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nik Lentz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Islam Makhachev | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.