June 21, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 117 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
JunYong Park's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JunYong Park for the expected result. Had Ismail Naurdiev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 013 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
JunYong Park earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 160 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Ismail Naurdiev controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (76 vs 45). However, since Ismail Naurdiev lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. JunYong Park's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:25 | 6:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
JunYong Park controlled Ismail Naurdiev on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:39 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
JunYong Park demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, JunYong Park capitalized on this activity level, while Ismail Naurdiev's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
JunYong Park extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ismail Naurdiev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ismail Naurdiev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.