July 1, 2022
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 488 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 383 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -8 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Israel Adesanya captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 708 | 1 557 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Israel Adesanya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 230 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 163 | 141 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 827 | 1 485 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Israel Adesanya controlled the striking exchanges with 163 vs 141 total strikes, 116 vs 90 significant strikes. Israel Adesanya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 362 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Israel Adesanya did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jared Cannonier on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 491 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -9 |
Israel Adesanya demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Israel Adesanya capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 448 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -7 |
Israel Adesanya extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Cannonier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 228 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.