April 12, 2019
UFC Interim Middleweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 378 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -34 |
Israel Adesanya overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kelvin Gastelum.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 149 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 443 | 1 496 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Israel Adesanya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 109 | 91 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 237 | 220 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 4 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 666 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | +182 | -182 |
Israel Adesanya dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 92 total strikes, 109 vs 91 significant strikes, including 4 devastating knockdowns. Israel Adesanya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:42 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Israel Adesanya landed 4 knockdowns followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 377 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -24 |
Israel Adesanya demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Israel Adesanya capitalized on this activity level, while Kelvin Gastelum's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 248 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -23 |
Israel Adesanya continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Kelvin Gastelum's now at 0.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 140 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.