June 11, 2021
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 432 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -11 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 312 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -12 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Israel Adesanya captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 632 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Israel Adesanya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 96 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 176 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 91 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 784 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Israel Adesanya controlled the striking exchanges with 122 vs 91 total strikes, 96 vs 58 significant strikes, 53.0% vs 33.0% accuracy. Israel Adesanya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 6:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 320 | 1 409 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Israel Adesanya did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marvin Vettori on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:36 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 448 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -11 |
Israel Adesanya demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Israel Adesanya capitalized on this activity level, while Marvin Vettori's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 412 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Israel Adesanya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marvin Vettori is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 191 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.