February 9, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:37 | 3:37 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 937 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Israel Adesanya gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 827 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Israel Adesanya controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 33 total strikes, 52 vs 22 significant strikes, 69.3% vs 47.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Israel Adesanya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 020 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Israel Adesanya did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rob Wilkinson on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Israel Adesanya demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Israel Adesanya capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Wilkinson's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Israel Adesanya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Wilkinson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Israel Adesanya | Rob Wilkinson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.