March 15, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:26 | 0:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +74 |
TJ Dillashaw gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 848 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
TJ Dillashaw controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 17 total strikes, 30 vs 11 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 955 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
TJ Dillashaw landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 249 | 249 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated standard activity with 249 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while Issei Tamura's 249-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
TJ Dillashaw extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Issei Tamura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Issei Tamura | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.