December 2, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 909 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 939 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 915 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +63 |
Yazmin Jauregui gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 842 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Yazmin Jauregui dominated the striking exchanges with 103 vs 39 total strikes, 67 vs 36 significant strikes, 43.5% vs 60.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Yazmin Jauregui capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 2:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 766 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Yazmin Jauregui controlled Istela Nunes on the ground with 2:50 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 939 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +43 |
Yazmin Jauregui demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yazmin Jauregui capitalized on this activity level, while Istela Nunes's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 939 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Yazmin Jauregui extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Istela Nunes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Istela Nunes | Yazmin Jauregui |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 939 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.