February 21, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 034 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ivan Jorge earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Ivan Jorge slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 39.1% vs 30.6% accuracy. Ivan Jorge capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:07 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 895 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Ivan Jorge edged out Josh Shockley on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:07 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 372 | 254 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Ivan Jorge demonstrated extended layoff with 372 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ivan Jorge capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Shockley's 254-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Ivan Jorge started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Shockley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ivan Jorge | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.