February 14, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Ivan Menjivar's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ivan Menjivar for the expected result. Had John Albert pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:45 | 3:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 183 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -40 |
Ivan Menjivar earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 141 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
John Albert controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (31 vs 25), superior accuracy (56.4% vs 71.4%). However, since John Albert lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ivan Menjivar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:09 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 188 | 900 |
| ELO Change | +154 | -154 |
Ivan Menjivar dominated John Albert on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:09 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 194 | 74 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Ivan Menjivar demonstrated standard activity with 194 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ivan Menjivar capitalized on this activity level, while John Albert's 74-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Ivan Menjivar extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Albert is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ivan Menjivar | John Albert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.