April 15, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 108 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Ivan Salaverry's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ivan Salaverry for the expected result. Had Joe Riggs pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 221 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -33 |
Ivan Salaverry earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 243 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Joe Riggs controlled the striking through superior accuracy (54.5% vs 28.6%). However, since Joe Riggs lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ivan Salaverry's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ivan Salaverry edged out Joe Riggs on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Ivan Salaverry demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ivan Salaverry capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Riggs's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 056 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Ivan Salaverry extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Riggs is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ivan Salaverry | Joe Riggs |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.