November 2, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jamey-Lyn Horth receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 955 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Ivana Petrovic controlled the striking through superior volume (67 vs 50 total strikes). However, since Ivana Petrovic lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jamey-Lyn Horth's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:45 | 2:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 035 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jamey-Lyn Horth edged out Ivana Petrovic on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:30 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 337 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Jamey-Lyn Horth demonstrated standard activity with 337 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jamey-Lyn Horth capitalized on this activity level, while Ivana Petrovic's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jamey-Lyn Horth started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ivana Petrovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ivana Petrovic | Jamey-Lyn Horth |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.